Showing posts with label CORONAVIRUS. Show all posts
Showing posts with label CORONAVIRUS. Show all posts

September 12, 2022

Covid-19 Is Still Killing Hundreds of Americans Daily

 

Disease on pace to remain third-leading cause of death, with older and sicker people among most vulnerable

Mark Pfundheller promptly got his first two Covid-19 shots and a booster, his family said, knowing the disease was a threat related to treatment for an inflammatory disorder that compromised his immune system.

The 66-year-old former aviation consultant for Wisconsin’s Transportation Department caught the virus in April at a family wedding near his home in southern Wisconsin, where many guests were infected. Mr. Pfundheller died in a Madison, Wis., hospital on July 2 after an illness including time on a ventilator.

His was one of nearly 200,000 Covid-19 deaths in the U.S. this year, according to death-certificate data. While the virus has become less risky for many thanks in part to immunity from vaccines and prior infections, it is still killing hundreds each day. Most are older people, and many have underlying health conditions and compromised immune systems, doctors said.

“I don’t think people realize that this is still a big deal,” Mr. Pfundheller’s daughter Jamie Pfundheller said.

Mark Pfundheller with his wife, Kelli, a few months before the ex-aviation consultant died after catching Covid at a wedding.PHOTO: KELLI PFUNDHELLER

The U.S. has recently averaged about 320 new Covid-19 deaths each day, and the average was above 400 before the Labor Day holiday weekend, data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention show. The rate is far below pandemic peaks, including levels above 2,500 a day during the Omicron wave early this year. But the country hasn’t matched lows closer to 200 a day reached during a lull last year.

Roughly 85% of people who died from Covid-19 through mid-August this summer were 65 or older, a Wall Street Journal analysis of death-certificate data show. The rate is similar to 2020 peaks, before vaccines were available. Deaths trended younger for much of last year.

Covid-19 is on pace to be the third-leading cause of death for the third straight year, said Dr. Robert Anderson, chief of the mortality statistics branch at the CDC’s National Center for Health Statistics. Since 2020, it has trailed only heart disease and cancer, significantly reducing life expectancy.

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The problem is this summer’s infections due to Omicron subvariants such as BA.5. Though case trends have recently eased, the consistently heavy volume has kept deaths elevated.

“If it’s attacking so many people on such a regular basis, unfortunately, some people will have severe illness and deaths,” said Dr. Paul Biddinger, chief preparedness and continuity officer for Mass General Brigham, a Boston-area hospital system.m Covid-19 complications and other ailments five days after Mr. Pfundheller. The former public-school band director was nearing the end of his life because of Parkinson’s disease and Lewy body dementia, and Covid-19 hastened his death, his son Peter Spicer said. The music lover and former athlete was vaccinated and caught the virus at a long-term-care facility, his son said.

“There’s people like my dad who will still die from it because they’re in tough shape,” he said.

The health system AdventHealth counted 24 deaths related to Covid-19 at its Orlando, Fla.-area hospitals in August. Age was the biggest factor, although younger patients with compromised immune systems were also at risk, doctors with the health system said. All but one Covid-19 patient who died had serious health problems such as diabetes, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, heart failure and obesity.2021

“It was not uncommon in the previous waves to have someone that was older than 65 with minimal comorbidities,” said Dr. Eduardo Oliveira, AdventHealth’s executive medical director of critical-care services. “Right now, when we see them, they appear to have more.”

Doctors said these older, at-risk patients are similar in profile to people vulnerable to dying from influenza. There remain key differences. Covid-19 threatens serious, long-term symptoms for some people. Flu deaths range from roughly 15,000 to 70,000 a year, said Dr. Anderson at the CDC, while the most recent seven-day average for Covid-19 deaths over a year would add up to 116,000.

The U.S. shouldn’t accept this as the burden of living with Covid-19, said Dr. Katelyn Jetelina, an epidemiologist who writes a newsletter tracking the pandemic and other issues. “It’s a substantial number of deaths, and it’s I think a tragedy,” she said.

CDC data show vaccines greatly reduce rates of hospitalization and death.PHOTO: SHANNON STAPLETON/REUTERS

Federal health authorities are urging people to get vaccine shots that target the original virus and Omicron subvariants. About 29% of fully vaccinated people age 65 and up haven’t received their first booster dose, CDC data show.

CDC data show vaccines greatly reduce rates of hospitalization and death. While roughly three-quarters of the adult population in Memorial Hermann Health System’s southeast Texas territory are vaccinated, about half of recently hospitalized Covid-19 patients haven’t received the shots, said Dr. James McCarthy, the system’s chief physician executive.

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Mr. Pfundheller caught Covid-19 shortly after federal authorities cleared a second booster, which he planned to get, his daughter, Ms. Pfundheller, said. The wedding, which he attended maskless, occurred as cases in Wisconsin were in a post-winter trough.

Though he raised his children alone, he never missed their events, family members said. Eldest daughter Lindsey Lentz, in a eulogy, highlighted his sense of adventure, including flying his children on stomach-churning airplane rides that included flips upside down.

His health in later years was compromised by Churg-Strauss syndrome, which causes blood-vessel inflammation and often triggers asthma. He required treatment with immunosuppressive medication and had long been vulnerable to infections, his family said. But he was an active golfer and was hitting the dance floor at the April wedding.

“He was living a full life up until Covid,” said his wife since 2004, Kelli Pfundheller. “It was Covid that changed everything.”

September 1, 2022

Americans on the left end of the political spectrum have become less anxious about Covid.

 

Times Square in July.Gabby Jones for The New York Times

Shrinking partisan gaps

Almost six months ago, when my Morning colleagues and I released our last poll about Covid, the deep anxiety among Americans identifying as “very liberal” was one of the main findings.

Forty-seven percent of very liberal adults said that they believed Covid presented a “great risk” to their own personal health and well-being. That was a significantly larger share than among conservatives, moderates or even liberals who stopped short of calling themselves very liberal. Particularly striking was the level of concern among liberals under age 45, even though the virus’s worst effects have been concentrated among older people.

I understand why attitudes about the virus vary so sharply by ideology. Our country is polarized on most high-profile issues today. In the case of Covid, Donald Trump and some other Republicans exacerbated the divide by making a series of false statements that downplayed the threat or misrepresented the vaccines.

To many liberals, taking Covid seriously — more seriously, at times, than the scientific evidence justified — became an expression of identity and solidarity. As one progressive activist tweeted last year, “The inconvenience of having to wear a mask is more than worth it to have people not think I’m a conservative.”

This morning, we’re releasing the results of our latest Covid poll (which, like the earlier ones, was conducted by Morning Consult). This time, one of the central findings is how much attitudes have changed since the spring. Americans are less worried about the virus today — and driving that decline is the receding level of anxiety among the very liberal, including many younger adults.

The share of the very liberal who say the virus presents a great risk to their own personal health has fallen to 34 percent. The 13-point drop since March was larger than the drop among any of the six other ideological self-identifications in the poll:

Based on surveys of 2,210 U.S. adults in March 2022 and 2,212 adults in August 2022. | Source: Morning Consult

A growing number of very liberal Americans have decided that it’s time to treat Covid as an unpleasant but manageable part of life, much as many other Americans — as well as people in other countries — decided months ago.

Back to school

What explains the change? In part, it’s probably a reflection of changing reality. Drugs like Paxlovid and Evusheld are now widely available, reducing the risks for vulnerable people.

But psychology seems to play a role too. After all, many aspects of the pandemic have not changed in the past six months. Both then and now, vaccines provided excellent protection against severe illness; the risks of hospitalization for children and most adults under 50 were minuscule; and the vaccines reduced the chances of long Covid.

All of which suggests that the decreasing anxiety among liberals also stems partly from the passage of time. Trump has not been president for more than 18 months. In his place is a Democrat pushing progressive policies on climate change, health care and student loans — and also encouraging Americans not to let Covid fears dominate their lives.

“Americans can remove their masks, return to work, stay in the classroom and move forward safely,” President Biden said this spring.

One example of changing liberal attitudes is related to in-person school. When asked about the best policy for K-12 education, a growing number of liberals support in-person school only, rather than hybrid or remote learning. The partisan gap on this question has narrowed since early this year:

Data as of July 9, 2022. Chart shows four-week moving averages based on weekly surveys of around 2,200 adults. | Source: Morning Consult

(The question about schools comes from the fascinating weekly polls that Morning Consult has been conducting since the start of the pandemic.)

The remaining gaps

To be sure, the partisan divides over Covid have not disappeared.

Conservatives are much less likely to be vaccinated or boosted, which means that many are voluntarily exposing themselves to Covid risk. And very liberal Americans remain more worried about the virus than almost any other demographic group, including the elderly.

That pattern does not seem consistent with scientific reality, given that the very liberal are younger than any other ideological group and that Covid’s effects are far worse for older people. But the pattern may help explain why young people in our poll reported wearing masks slightly more often than older people — and why the few schools and workplaces that still have mask mandates tend to be in liberal enclaves.

Based on surveys of 2,210 U.S. adults in March 2022 and 2,212 adults in August 2022. | Source: Morning Consult

Still, here’s a prediction: Absent a major change in the virus itself (such as a dangerous new variant), the level of Covid anxiety will continue declining in coming months, across political tribes.

A final note

The federal government is likely to approve the next generation of booster shots — designed to be even more effective against the latest variants — in coming days. Within a week or two, these new shots will probably be available to Americans 12 and older.

A useful rule of thumb is that anybody who has not yet received a shot in 2022 should consider doing so in coming weeks. As Dr. Ashish Jha, the White House Covid coordinator, told me yesterday: “It’s really important, especially if you’re at elevated risk, but really for anyone. If you have not had a booster this year, it’s critical that you go and get one.”

Severe Covid illness continues to be heavily concentrated among people over 65, especially those who are unvaccinated or not current on their booster shots.

August 12, 2022

 


With new guidance, CDC relaxes COVID rules

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention laid out new guidance for the national response to COVID-19 on Thursday.

Tami Chappell/AFP via Getty Images

With the coronavirus continuing to spread widely throughout the country, Americans are getting new advice from federal health officials on how to live with the virus.

The revised guidance – released by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention on Thursday – lifts the requirement to quarantine if exposed to the virus, deemphasizes screening people with no symptoms and updates COVID-19 protocols in schools, eliminating a recommendation for test-to-stay after potential exposure.

"This guidance acknowledges that the pandemic is not over, but also helps us move to a point where COVID-19 no longer severely disrupts our daily lives," the CDC's Greta Massetti said in a statement. "We know that COVID 19 is here to stay," she added in comments during a briefing with reporters.

The update isn't necessarily a huge overhaul of the existing guidance, but it does represent an increasing focus on individuals making their own decisions about their level of risk and how they want to mitigate that risk, said Dr. Marcus Plescia, chief medical officer for the Association of State and Territorial Health Officials.

"That is consistent with where we are in the pandemic right now," he said. "I don't really think there are many state or local jurisdictions that are feeling they're going to need to start making mandates."

It also brings the recommendations for unvaccinated people in line with people who are fully vaccinated – an acknowledgment of the high levels of population immunity in the U.S., due to vaccination, past COVID-19 infections or both. "Based on the latest ... data, it's around 95% of the population," Massetti said, "And so it really makes the most sense to not differentiate," since many people have some protection against severe disease.