Showing posts with label ECONOMY. Show all posts
Showing posts with label ECONOMY. Show all posts

June 12, 2020

Investors, No Longer in Denial About Grim Outlook, DOW Drops 1860 pts, Nearly 6%. UPDATES

Investors are finally catching up to the fact the U.S. economy is not recovering anytime soon.


At least for a day, reality triumphed over hope on Wall Street.

After a frenzied, almost unstoppable three-month climb that seemed to defy both gravity and logic, the stock market plunged on Thursday, as investors decided they could no longer go on behaving as if the American economy had already recovered from the pandemic.

The signals leading to this moment were hard to ignore, even for the most bullish of investors. Coronavirus infections are rising in 21 states. Congress is divided on extending more aid. And on Wednesday, the Federal Reserve chair, Jerome H. Powell, warned that the depth of the downturn and pace of the recovery remained “extraordinarily uncertain.”
For investors, who often make buying and selling decisions by looking at the future, it was altogether too much.

Stocks suffered their worst drop in nearly three months as the S&P 500 stock index fell 5.9 percent — just days after it had recouped its losses for the year. The Dow Jones industrial average dropped nearly 1,900 points, or 6.9 percent. Oil prices also cratered, reflecting the sudden unease that swept across financial markets.


Another 1.5 million filed new state unemployment claims last week.

The Labor Department said Thursday that 1.5 million Americans filed new state unemployment claims last week — the lowest number since the coronavirus pandemic shut down much of the economy in March, but far above normal levels.

The weekly report on unemployment claims comes after the government reported that jobs rebounded last month and that the unemployment rate fell unexpectedly to 13.3 percent. Correcting for a classification error, the actual rate was closer to 16.4 percent — still lower than in April, but higher than at any other point since the Great Depression.

A further 700,000 workers who were self-employed or otherwise ineligible for state jobless benefits filed new claims for Pandemic Unemployment Assistance, a federal aid program.
 
The overall number of workers collecting state benefits fell slightly in the most recent seasonally adjusted tally, to 20.9 million in the week that ended May 30, from a revised 21.3 million the previous week.

President Trump will deliver his convention speech at the VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena in Jacksonville, Fla. Credit...Douglas P. Defelice/Getty Images

New rule for Trump campaign rallies: You can’t sue if you get the virus.

As President Trump moves to resume indoor campaign rallies, his campaign has added a twist to his optimistic push to return to life as it was before the pandemic: Attendees cannot sue the campaign or the venue if they contract the virus at the event.

“By clicking register below, you are acknowledging that an inherent risk of exposure to Covid-19 exists in any public place where people are present,” a statement on Mr. Trump’s campaign website informed those wishing to attend his June 19 rally in Tulsa, Okla. “By attending the rally, you and any guests voluntarily assume all risks related to exposure to Covid-19 and agree not to hold Donald J. Trump for President, Inc.; BOK Center; ASM Global; or any of their affiliates, directors, officers, employees, agents, contractors or volunteers liable for any illness or injury.”

Oklahoma, a state Mr. Trump won four years ago by 36 percentage points, began lifting restrictions on businesses on April 24 and moved into Phase 3 of its reopening on June 1, allowing summer camps to open and workplaces to return with full staffing. The state’s infection numbers are steady but not falling.

Officers in Brooklyn last week. The New York Police Department dismissed criticism about the lack of masks as petty.

An N.Y.P.D. policy says officers should wear masks in public, but many are refusing.

The New York Police Department’s official policy is that officers should wear masks when interacting with the public, but the widespread absence of masks is striking. While officers may forgo face coverings for different reasons, the images have fueled a perception of the police as arrogant and dismissive of protesters’ health.

In a statement on Wednesday, the department dismissed the criticism about the lack of masks as petty. “Perhaps it was the heat,” the department’s press office said in a statement. “Perhaps it was the 15-hour tours, wearing bullet-resistant vests in the sun. Perhaps it was the helmets. With everything New York City has been through in the past two weeks and everything we are working toward together, we can put our energy to a better use.”
 
On Thursday, Mayor Bill de Blasio said that while there were legitimate reasons for officers to remove their masks, such as to take a drink of water, the city remained “in the middle of a pandemic.”
The city is still reporting hundreds of new cases each week. As of May 29, 901 uniformed members — about 2.5 percent — were out sick, down from 19.8 percent in April. As of that same date, 5,627 members of the Police Department had returned to work after testing positive.

A photo of Chief Monahan in the Bronx on June 4th, who appears to be ordering the arrest of an organizer who is later taken to the group by cops in riot gear at the protest.

"The Streets Were Out Of Control": NYPD Chief Defends Violent Police Tactics During George Floyd Protests

The NYPD’s initial strategy of violently dispersing protesters who took to the streets after the police killing of George Floyd in Minneapolis has drawn widespread condemnation and prompted an investigation by the state Attorney General. While the police department has since allowed large groups of New Yorkers to march through the streets without beating and arresting them, the NYPD’s presence at the daily demonstrations is still heavy, and police helicopters continue to circle the city’s neighborhoods.

One of the main architects of the police response to the protests is Chief of Department Terence Monahan, the NYPD’s highest ranking uniformed officer, who also led the NYPD's mass arrest tactics during the 2004 GOP convention. Early on in the demonstrations, Monahan took a knee with protesters at Washington Square Park in a sign of respect and deference, a gesture that garnered positive press and effusive praise from Mayor Bill de Blasio.

Days after he made that gesture, Chief Monahan appeared to order the violent arrest of an organizer of a peaceful demonstration in the Bronx, and presided over the police on the scene as they beat New Yorkers with clubs and arrested legal observers.
 
We spoke with Chief Monahan about the NYPD’s handling of the protests, aggressive police tactics, and why so many people were detained for violating Mayor Bill de Blasio’s six-night curfew.

More than half of the detainments in 11 days were for curfew violations. How does this square with the NYPD’s stated goal, which was to crack down on violence and property damage and theft and not peaceful protesters?

If you look at protests and what occurred, starting at the Barclays Center on May 29th, there were numerous instances of violence early on from that day. It was a protest that started around three o'clock in the afternoon. By approximately 6, 6:30, the cops that were standing in front of the Barclays Center, myself included, started getting hit with all sorts of objects being thrown from the very large crowd that had gathered there. There were numerous bottles, rocks, paintballs, bottles of water, bottles of unknown liquids being thrown at the cops. So that was just the start of what we were experiencing over what would be the next four days.

The violence continued obviously through that night. Vans burnt. Molotov cocktails thrown at police officers while they were seated in their cars. The next day, large crowds gathered around, around officers that were in their cars, trying to pull them out. As a matter of fact, the commanding officer in one of the commands, his radio transmission as he was being pulled out was, ‘This may be my last transmission.’

So the violence escalated between that Friday and Saturday. Once Sunday came, that's when we started seeing looting, and lots of it, throughout the city. That Monday, when the looting really continued extremely bad in Manhattan, the curfew was put into effect. And in that night, the majority of our curfew violations were made, ending one of the toughest nights I think I've ever worked in the police department.

We made numerous burglary arrests that night, in addition to all of the curfew violation arrests. By having that curfew in place at 11, it helped us tamp down some of what was going on with the very large crowds that were running around. Once the violence stopped, that's when we really didn't need to enforce the curfew as much anymore. So that curfew helped us get this city back under control. For those four days, it was a very dangerous place to be in New York City.

Given the coronavirus pandemic, why were so many people physically detained for lower-level offenses, including curfew violations, and in some cases for more than 24 hours? Why didn't the police department use discretion to issue summonses in lieu of physical detention?

Listen, the streets were out of control. We needed to get control back on the streets. There wasn't a worry about social distancing when crowds of hundreds, if not thousands, were running together in the streets, looting the stores. Those that we were able to catch right away, were charged with the burglary. Those that would spill out after the curfew running around through those streets were the ones that were charged with the curfew violations. This was a way of getting control back in this city for incidences that were really problematic for quite a few days.

This isn't your normal two guys on a street corner, let's give them a summons. This was crowds of people violating. We needed to be able to bring them in.

Chief of Department of the New York City Police, Terence Monahan, hugs an activist after he took a knee, on June 1st, 2020.
Chief of Department of the New York City Police, Terence Monahan, hugs an activist after he took a knee, on June 1st, 2020. CRAIG RUTTLE/AP/SHUTTERSTOCK
You were present for the June 4th protests in the Bronx, where more than 250 people were arrested. We also know at least 11 legal observers were detained. The department had to walk back some claims around a gun and gasoline that were recovered. Do you feel like that evening was an appropriate use of police force?

Yes, I do.

I don't know where the walkback was. The night before we recovered gasoline and making of a Molotov cocktail from some information that we received coming into the 4-0 Precinct. That day, on scene, we had information of a person going to get a gun to bring back to the protest, where we were able to follow and apprehend before they got back there with the firearm. We also arrested people going to the protests from a car with lighter fluid, all sorts of other equipment including hammers, fireworks.

In the course of discussion with the people arrested, they said they were going to utilize that, at that demonstration to set off fires and to hit the police officers with those weapons. So this was something right off the bat, we knew was not your typical protest. Even the advertisements for the protest were saying that they were going to cause destruction.

Their advertisement showed a burning van, police van. And this is the “FTP” [Fuck The Police] group, the same group who vandalized subways throughout the city just a few months prior.
Prior to even the arrests I went through the Patterson Houses where the people there were quite upset seeing them marching through their neighborhoods and talking about taking care of business for themselves if anything in the neighborhood got damaged.

The Bronx took a beating the night before. The last thing we needed was for the Bronx to take another beating on this night. If you drove around the Bronx, and you looked through the hub, every store had signs on it begging, that nothing would happen, saying ‘We’re minority owned, we support this movement,’ pleading that nothing would happen to their businesses.


Jake Offenhartz@jangelooff
 
Just before 8 this group of heavily armored bike cops intercepted the group. Yelled “move” and knocked people back with bikes all at once. Now we’re kettled on this hill
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Jake Offenhartz@jangelooff
 
Cops charged from the back with batons out. Multiple people hit. Someone bleeding from the head. I jumped over a car and am out because of a press base. This wasn’t even a confrontation it was a trap
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2,322 people are talking about this 
 
The more violent examples you gave didn’t add up to the more than 250 people arrested. Why were so many others arrested and thrown to the ground, thrown against cars, beaten with batons, kettled?

They were the people who we were given information were looking to cause mayhem in the streets of the Bronx. They were warned repeatedly that they could face arrest for being in the streets and for the violation of the curfew.

I saw a lot of the arrests being made—quite a few of them were struggling and fighting with the cops as they were attempting to place them in custody. So they weren't a peaceful group who put their hands up and said, ‘Okay, take me in.’ No, there were quite a few people struggling, pushing, shoving the cops. Someone actually threw a wheelbarrow, climbed over a fence and tried to throw a wheelbarrow over on the cops.

All the legal observers, I observed them and we got them all cut loose right away.
This wasn't cops going in there and trying to just physically beat people and take them under arrest. This was controlling the group that we had information with intent on violence within a neighborhood that had already been devastated by violence.

You’ve said before that some of the people causing the most trouble at protests are from out of state, like California. You personally oversaw the arrest of two of the organizers, both who are black women from the Bronx. Do you think it hurts the NYPD’s credibility when police leaders make these claims that don't always have evidence to back them up about where protesters are from?
The evidence that we have is that there are organizations, not from this area that are infiltrating and encouraging people to do acts of violence. And that's what we saw in the first four days.
There are active investigations currently ongoing about who may be the ones behind these organizations and exactly where they're from. So I can't go into detail on it. But we have solid information that there were outside agitators who were pushing off an agenda, especially within those first four days of protest.

Morena Basteiro
@morenabasteiro
 
 
An emotional ⁦@NYPDChiefofDept⁩ tells ⁦@JoshEiniger7⁩ that it’s time to get the agitators “out of here” - “from California, from all over this country, who are being paid to take this movement, which is a good movement, and turn it into violence.” ⁦@ABC7NY
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1,491 people are talking about this
 Some of the videos we’ve seen about the police response to people who are peacefully in the street—the use of batons, pepper spray. Do you defend some of that use of force the department has used over the course of the past several days?

Listen, obviously we are not perfect. I am not perfect. There are issues that have happened during the course of this, but everything has to be looked at in the context of what was going on during that time. You know, you look at a video of a cop doing A, but let's go and look at the whole video of the rocks and bottles and things being shot out them, the fireworks being shot at him, the struggles that he had with people pushing and fighting, the dearresting tactics that were used largely by many people.

Did some of them act too aggressively? Yes. But take it in the context of thousands of police officers out on the streets, trying to prevent the mayhem that occurred during the course of those days.

We’ve seen instances of groups of protesters and elected officials negotiating with police, in which protesters have an understanding they are permitted to continue peacefully protesting. But then smaller groups later on are aggressively arrested. I saw this happen at Grand Army Plaza, where a larger group dispersed, and later in the evening, a smaller group that had continued marching was aggressively arrested on Nostrand Avenue. Is that timeline—negotiations with officers at the scene during a standoff, smaller groups separating from larger groups after a partial dispersal, then police following them and making arrests—a tactic by police?

I don't have the exact information for that incident itself. But we look, and discretion is given to all commanders on the scene. Decisions are not made from 1 Police Plaza. They're made from the commanders on the scene based on what they're seeing. The direction was, for the most part, if there was no, as we moved forward, if there was no disorder, no garbage being thrown in the street, no bottles being thrown, we tried to give as much time as we could. At some point, it was up to the discretion of the commander on scene whether or not they were going to take enforcement action.

Is there anything you regret about the handling of the protests?

Well, specifically those first four days, those were the problematic days for us. I wish we had better information. I wish we knew exactly how violent it was going to turn out on those first four days. We expected this to be demonstrations like we're seeing right now—tens of thousands of people peacefully marching through the streets, talking about what needs to be talked about, changes that need to be made. We fully support that.

We’ve seen this dramatic shift in police tactics this week though protests have continued, like you noted. Why didn’t those police tactics change sooner for managing large crowds?

It's not us. It's the crowds that we're managing. We can manage crowds like this every single day, with a very, very light touch. The crowds that we were seeing in the beginning, as we walked away, they followed us and they yelled at us and they threw bottles at us. These crowds are not doing that. If you take a look at the videos, and early on from the Barclays Center, our cops were just standing there, like they've been doing the last week.

I don't know if the agitators have moved, and now our peaceful protesters have finally gotten rid of them. That was my statement to the crowd of Washington Square. Throw the agitators out, throw those who are throwing bottles at cops, because that's not what this is about. This is about change. This is about us coming together. It's not attacks on police. It's about getting your voice out so change can be made.

June 11, 2020

  • June 10, 2020: The Blue Wall Crumbles
  • Defying Police Unions, New York Lawmakers Ban Chokeholds

    Legislators, responding to protests over the death of George Floyd, are approving a package of bills aimed at police misconduct.

    Inspired by the protests sweeping the state and nation, New York legislative leaders on Monday began to approve an expansive package of bills targeting police misconduct, defying longstanding opposition from law enforcement groups, including police unions.
    The measures range from a ban on the use of chokeholds to the repeal of an obscure decades-old statute that has effectively hidden the disciplinary records of police officers from public view, making it virtually impossible for victims to know whether a particular officer has a history of abuse.
    The legislation marks one of the most substantial policy changes to result from the nearly two weeks of national unrest that followed George Floyd’s death in Minneapolis, including in New York City, where tens of thousands of protesters participated in mostly peaceful marches to demand more police accountability.
    The proposals signify a turning-point in Albany. Many of the policy changes being voted on this week languished for years because of opposition from influential police and corrections unions that contribute generously to the campaigns of elected officials — a tactic that had great effect in the State Senate, which has traditionally been under Republican control.

    But Democrats assumed control of the full Legislature last year for the first time in nearly a decade, clearing the way for lawmakers to pass some of the law enforcement bills on Monday. Gov. Andrew M. Cuomo, a third-term Democrat, said on Monday he supported the bills and intended to sign them into law.
    The pressure on elected officials to enact police reforms has reverberated across the nation.
    Officials in Minneapolis moved to ban chokeholds and pledged to disband its police department. In Congress, Democrats plan to unveil expansive legislation this week to combat racial bias and excessive use of force by law enforcement. On Sunday, Mayor Bill de Blasio vowed for the first time to cut funding for the New York Police Department.
    The protests in New York, which in some cases included violent clashes between the police and demonstrators, sparked a groundswell of support that seemed unlikely just a few weeks ago, placing unavoidable pressure on state and city lawmakers who were already consumed with the deadly coronavirus outbreak.
    In one such clash, a police officer was recorded on video shoving a female protester to the ground and was heard calling her a “bitch.” The officer, who has been identified by elected officials as Vincent D’Andraia, is expected to be arrested on Tuesday and face prosecution by the Brooklyn district attorney’s office, according to three law enforcement officials.

    Officer D’Andraia, who has already been suspended without pay, is expected to face misdemeanor charges of assault, harassment and menacing over the May 29 incident, one of the officials said. The protester, Dounya Zayer, 20, has said she suffered a concussion and seizures as a result of the attack.
    The pending arrest lies in stark contrast to the aftermath of Eric Garner’s death on Staten Island after a police officer held him in a chokehold in 2014.
    The New York City Council soon introduced a bill to criminalize chokeholds by the police; after a Staten Island grand jury refused to approve criminal charges against the officers involved in Mr. Garner’s death, the measure gained momentum.
    But in December 2014, as anger against the police heightened, two police officers were assassinated in an attack that many officers thought had been inspired by anti-police rhetoric after Mr. Garner’s death. Mayor de Blasio, in danger of losing the support of the rank-and-file police and their unions, threatened to veto the legislation.
    The bill, which has languished since, now has enough support to overcome a mayoral veto, and will come to a vote on June 18. It would make the use of chokeholds by members of the New York Police Department a misdemeanor punishable by up to a year in jail and a $2,500 fine.The bill has been expanded this year because of the way in which Mr. Floyd was killed. It will prohibit any action that “restricts the flow of air or blood by compressing the windpipe, diaphragm, or the carotid arteries” in the effort to make an arrest.
    Another policing bill has been even more contentious: State lawmakers received thousands of emails in recent days urging them to repeal a 1970s-era law in the state’s civil code known as 50-a, which prohibits the release of “all personnel records used to evaluate performance” of police officers without permission from the officer or a judge.
    Under Mayor de Blasio, the New York Police Department fought in court to expand the interpretation of the law so that it shielded the results of disciplinary hearings against individual officers.
    The move to repeal the law drew forceful opposition from the state’s powerful police unions, which argued that the changes could lead to reputational harm if complaints of misconduct that have not been substantiated were allowed to be released.
    Union officials, including those from the Police Benevolent Association, which represents 40,000 active and retired New York City police officers, said lawmakers were voting with little deliberation and in the shadow of a pandemic and civil unrest.
    Andrea Stewart-Cousins, the Democratic majority leader in the Senate, said law enforcement has operated under “rules they set for themselves” for far too long. “If I’ve got 20 accusations of excessive force that are unsubstantiated, that’s got to be a red flag, one way or the other,” she said in an interview. “We can no longer afford complaint after complaint built up on your record and then nobody does anything about it. That’s over.”Mr. Cuomo, following years of remaining mostly noncommittal on the issue, threw his support behind repeal, acknowledging it would infuriate law enforcement unions.
    Lawmakers will vote later this week on 50-a and on a bill that would require state police officers to wear body cameras.
    Another bill entitled people to “a private right of action” if they believed someone called a police officer on them because of their race, gender, nationality or any other protected class. The bill was a direct response to incidents of black people being falsely reported to the police, including the encounter caught on video last month of a white woman falsely claiming in a 911 call that a black birder was threatening her.


  • NY DAILY NEWS, HARRY SIEGEL

    Police accountability at last

    Bring the change.
    Before he was the guy posting Zen kōans and pictures of himself gazing wistfully at the horizon on Twitter, before he was the guy who Donald Trump fired and before he was the guy who put Trump in a position to fire him with his Inspector Clouseau investigation of Hillary’s emails, Jim Comey was The Man.
    Comey concluded that 2015 speech, full of anecdotes but without any hard numbers to back them up, by declaring that “We have to resist stereotypes. We have to look for information beyond anecdotes. And we must understand that we need each other.”
    And there things stood, with American policing and protest stuck in the same groove they’ve been in for 50 years or so, a forever war at home to go along with our overseas ones.
    As a plague has killed more New Yorkers in a matter of weeks than have been murdered here so far this century, it was police violence that brought people back out into the streets (and with the effective blessing of the mayor and the governor, despite their own public health emergency rules, with still unknown consequences). Police responded to people protesting the police by busting heads, in what looked locally and nationally more like cops at war than a war on cops.
    People are sticking it to The Man, and The Man has hit back with sticks, tear gas, rubber bullets and even helicopters to “dominate the battlespace,” all of that leading to more videos drawing more people out to the streets.
    The real Ferguson Effect is the end of 50-a, the despicable law that Mayor de Blasio essentially created after Eric Garner’s killing to make a state secret of police disciplinary records. It’s a statewide database in New Jersey, to keep bad cops from just bouncing from department to department. It’s cities banning chokeholds, tear gas and rubber bullets. And it’s real pressure on police departments — whose budgets go mostly to payroll and pensions — to account for what they provide in exchange for those spoils.
    This isn’t happening because the feds started collecting that information that Comey said they needed, or because of the Department of Justice’s halting attempts to reform a few local forces after particularly high-profile policing disasters.
    Instead, Washington, always reluctant to look too closely at local police practices, backed off almost entirely after Trump’s election. Until now, ignorance has been bliss from law enforcement’s perspective.
    This is happening because of the videos Comey was complaining about, on behalf of law enforcement, as elected “leaders” race to catch up with the national sentiment, as expressed in the streets and in opinion polls.
    It turns out people still respond to what their eyes show them, even when their president or their mayor or their police commissioner insist otherwise.
  • The FBI director, appointed by Barack Obama, amplified talk about an alleged “War on Cops” or “Ferguson Effect,” with a “chill wind blowing through American law enforcement” as “policing has changed in today’s YouTube world,” leaving “officers reluctant to get out of their cars and do the work that controls violent crime” and no one to protect the rest of us from “bad people standing on the street with guns.”

  • Minneapolis pledges to dismantle its police department
  • In Minnesota, a veto-proof majority Minneapolis City Council on Sunday backed a plan to disband the city’s police department, which has long flouted reform attempts, in favor of a community-based public safety system. [Guardian / Oliver Milman]
  •  
  • A new model could involve community-based policing alongside a much larger system of social services that would deal with issues before they escalate into crime.
    Police would be demilitarized, removing the armored vehicles, high-powered weapons and teargas used against protesters during the outcry over Floyd’s death, and receive better training on how to deescalate situations without violence. The use of chokeholds and other aggressive methods during arrests would be outlawed.
  •  
  • The move wouldn’t be unprecedented: In 2012, the city of Camden, New Jersey, dissolved its corruption-laden police department outright and started anew with a county police department. The plan worked — violent crime rates and use of force complaints both plummeted. [NPR / James Doubek]
  •  
  • Camden made a shift to community-based policing in 2013, dissolving the local police department and using police from the local county instead. Daily non-crisis interactions between police and the community went up, training on de-escalating situations was rolled out, and firm rules on using force as a very last resort – virtually unheard of in the US – were installed. Officers are also required to intervene if a colleague breaks these edicts.
    The result has been stark – complaints over excessive police force in Camden have dropped 95% since 2014. But expanding these reforms across the US’s 18,000 police forces is a major challenge due to widespread resistance to change from pro-police legislators and powerful police unions.
  • New York is one of the few remaining states with a law that shields personnel records of police officers.

Does policing and criminal justice in the US differ greatly from other countries?

The US is somewhat of an outlier in its policing and sentencing compared with other wealthy nations. Six times more people die in police custody in the US than Britain, on a per-capita basis, with American police fatally shooting around 1,000 people in 2018 compared with just 11 such deaths in Germany and eight in Australia.

US police conduct far more arrests than their counterparts in other rich nations, with black men three times more likely than white men to die in these interactions. The justice system also condemns more people to prison, too – the US has more than 2 million incarcerated people, which represents the world’s largest prison population.

Many Americans are moving on, but the coronavirus isn’t.

A Maine facility that produces tests for Abbott Labs to detect the novel coronavirus has become the site of a viral outbreak.
Tesla employees in California revealed that several of their colleagues tested positive for the coronavirus following chief executive Elon Musk’s reopening of the company’s main production facility last month in defiance of government public health orders.

Members of the D.C. National Guard who were deployed last week in response to the protests over George Floyd’s killing have tested positive, but a spokeswoman refuses to reveal how many troops have the virus. Two members of the Nebraska National Guard who were activated last week in Lincoln, Neb., also tested positive. Public health experts are watching anxiously to see if the wave of nationwide protests leads to a spike of infections, especially among the African American community that has already been disproportionately affected.

Hospitalizations for coronavirus cases have been on the rise in at least nine states since Memorial Day: Texas, North and South Carolina, California, Oregon, Arkansas, Mississippi, Utah and Arizona. More than a dozen states, plus Puerto Rico, are recording their highest averages of new cases since the pandemic began. And the total number of new cases also continues to increase worldwide. Experts say this is not just because testing has become more widespread.

As states continue to push ahead with reopening, these are flashing red lights that we are not out of the woods, the danger of a second wave remains high and bringing folks back to work – while necessary for economic recovery – is fraught. Americans may be moving on, but the virus is not.
The United States surpassed two million coronavirus cases on Wednesday, according to a New York Times database, which showed that the outbreak was continuing to spread, with cases rising in 21 states as governments eased restrictions and Americans tried to return to their routines.
Despite improvement in states that were initially hit hard, such as New York, new hot spots have emerged in others, including Arizona, where an increase in cases and hospitalizations has alarmed local officials.

Arizona has also been struggling with its bed capacity. On Friday, Banner Health, one of the largest health-care systems in the country, confirmed that ICUs in Arizona were nearing capacity. Roughly 50 percent of all those hospitalized are in Banner Health facilities. As of Monday, 76 percent of all ICU beds in Arizona were in use, according to data from the state health department.

Arkansas has reported 10,080 cases, and in 11 of the past 15 days the state’s seven-day average of new cases has increased. It has had an 88 percent increase in hospitalizations since Memorial Day. Arkansas had 173 hospitalizations reported on Tuesday, compared with 92 on May 25.
With the current spike, 12 counties in South Carolina have reached 75 percent of hospital capacity or greater, according to the state’s health department.

Some parts of the South are finally showing signs of progress. New case reports have started trending downward in Alabama and leveled off in Mississippi. But persistent growth continues in Arkansas,[above] North Carolina and Florida. And in South Carolina, there have been nearly 1,000 new cases in the last two days.
States continue to ease restrictions. “We have to stay smart because reopening resets the whole game,” Gov. Andrew Cuomo (D-N.Y.) said at his daily briefing on Tuesday, pointing to a spike of cases in states like Florida as they reopened. “When you reopen, when people start coming out, in some ways, you go right back to day one.”

Republicans have tentatively settled on moving the bulk of their August convention from Charlotte to Jacksonville, Fla., to ensure that they can have large-scale events amid the pandemic, North Carolina health officials declined to promise that they would allow the Republican National Committee to fill an arena in Charlotte for the Aug. 24-27 convention. “I don’t want to be sitting in a place that’s 50 percent empty,” Trump told North Carolina Gov. Roy Cooper (D) in a recent phone conversation about the convention. “We can’t do social distancing.”

Meanwhile, top officials from the White House’s own coronavirus task force told governors during a conference call that they’re worried about a spike in infections because of the protests.


Elaine Eklund holds her son as she visits the grave of her mother, Yok Yen Lee, a Walmart employee who succumbed to the coronavirus. (Hannah Reyes Morales for The Washington Post)
Elaine Eklund holds her son as she visits the grave of her mother, Yok Yen Lee, a Walmart employee who succumbed to the coronavirus. (Hannah Reyes Morales for The Washington Post)
  • “Cops,” the long-running reality show from the Paramount Network that glorified police, was canceled in the face of protests. The show’s 33rd season was scheduled to premiere on June 15. (NYT)
  • HBO Max removes Gone with the Wind, a racist 'product of its time ...
  • The movie “Gone with the Wind” has been pulled from HBO Max. The network said that the 1939 cinematic classic, set partly on a plantation during and after the Civil War, is a “product of its time and depicts some of the ethnic and racial prejudices that have, unfortunately, been commonplace in American society.” (WSJ)
In Rawalpindi, Pakistan, last week. Pakistan, where coronavirus infections have surged, has recently relaxed restrictions. Credit...Farooq Naeem/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images[

Despite Virus Infections Surging, Countries End Lockdowns

At Nigambodh Ghat, the oldest cremation grounds in India’s capital, the bodies keep coming.
One ambulance arrives with five inside. Then another. Then another, in an endless display of death.
As the coronavirus pandemic surges in New Delhi, a public health care system that was already strained might be reaching its breaking point. People can’t get tested. They can’t find a hospital bed. The situation has become so grim that government officials have proposed commandeering some of New Delhi’s fanciest hotels to turn into hospitals.

But ready or not, much of India’s coronavirus lockdown has ended, as have those in other countries struggling to balance economic damage with coronavirus risk. In many places — India, Mexico, Russia, Iran and Pakistan, among others — leaders have come to feel they have no choice but to take the surge of cases on the chin and prioritize the economy.

Some of these leaders, especially those in the developing world, said they couldn’t sustain the punishing lockdowns without risking economic catastrophe, especially for their poorest citizens. So the thinking has shifted, from commanding people to stay indoors and avoid the virus and other people at all costs, to now openly accepting some illness and death to try to limit the damage to livelihoods and to individual lives.

India is now producing more new daily infections, around 10,000, than all but two countries, the United States and Brazil.


Pakistan may soon be overwhelmed, but it has relaxed restrictions as well. Outside the cities, almost no one is wearing a mask or making attempts to socially distance. In Lahore, the windy alleyways of the old city are crammed with people.

In the past week, Pakistan’s infections have nearly doubled but there’s no way to gauge how prevalent Covid-19 really is because testing has been so scarce. A doctors association has claimed that more than 2,500 health care workers have contracted the disease and 34 have died. At least five Pakistani lawmakers have also died from coronavirus.

Still, the country is opening up. Pakistan’s prime minister, Imran Khan, a millionaire former cricket star who campaigns as a populist, has called lockdowns elitist, implying that only rich people could afford to be sealed up in their homes.

In India, many people are anxious that however bad things are right now, they will soon get even worse. New Delhi and Mumbai, the two biggest cities, are overloaded with infections and experts said that the peak is still several weeks away.

As Vikas Khairwar stacked the firewood for his father’s pyre at Nigambodh Ghat, the revered cremation grounds in New Delhi, he spoke bitterly about his family’s experience with the public health care system.

After his father tested positive for coronavirus, Mr. Khairwar said that he begged for him to be put on a ventilator but the hospital didn’t have any available. His father died the next day. 


People gather outside Houston Memorial Gardens during George Floyd's funeral Tuesday. (Joshua Lott for The Washington Post)

What’s different about this moment? Primarily the number of Americans supporting protests over racial injustice.

The numbers are staggering: Just two years ago, 40 percent of Americans called themselves supporters of the Black Lives Matter movement. Today, 74 percent of Americans support the protests after George Floyd’s killing, a new Washington Post-Schar School poll finds.
Even a majority of Republicans support the protests (they also support President Trump’s handling of protesters).

The Fix’s Eugene Scott asks why there has been such a big shift and came up with a few reasons:
  • Smartphones. Scott writes that they have “allowed people around the world to witness virtually the violence that many black Americans have experienced at the hands of police for decades.”
  •  
  • Floyd’s death was the catalyst for this movement, but it came after a steady drumbeat of shocking killings of black people by police officers over the past few months: Ahmaud Arbery jogging in Georgia; Breonna Taylor at her home in Louisville; Sean Reed in Indianapolis after being pulled over and chased by police.
  •  
  • Finally, this is all coming as the coronavirus and its economic fallout affect communities of color more than the rest of America.

Federal Reserve predicts slow recovery with unemployment at 9.3 percent by end of 2020

The central bank plans to keep the benchmark U.S. interest rate near zero through at least 2022.


Federal Reserve leaders predict a slow recovery for the U.S. economy, with unemployment falling to 9.3 percent by the end of this year and to 6.5 percent by the end of 2021, after tens of millions of Americans lost their jobs in the stunning recession caused by the outbreak of the novel coronavirus.

Fed Chair Jerome H. Powell stressed Wednesday that more aid from Congress and the central bank is likely to be needed, especially since a substantial number of Americans may never get their jobs back.



Fox News and President Trump have been together for a long time, but like a lot of seemingly happy couples, they’re not immune to relationship turmoil.
The discontent has been brewing for a while, at least on Trump’s part. And he has made it clear he was ready to pick up the propaganda equivalent of Tinder and start scrolling for a new love.

Fox “is no longer the same . . . looking for a new outlet!” the president tweeted in mid-May, after host Neil Cavuto had the nerve to knock the president’s glorification of the potentially dangerous drug hydroxychloroquine as a coronavirus preventive. Days later he complained that “@FoxNews is doing nothing to help Republicans, and me, get reelected on November 3rd.”
That’s downright ungrateful given the network’s faithfulness in promoting the president’s agenda. A Pew survey found that of those whose main source of election news is Fox, 86 percent said they felt warmly toward Trump — a figure even higher than Republicans overall. 

Then, into this roiling discontent strolls an attractive newcomer: the San Diego-based cable outlet, One America News Network.Reporter from pro-Trump channel attends White House coronavirus ...
True, its audience is small. But Trump has touted it on social media, and its White House correspondent, Chanel Rion, [above] has been given special treatment at press briefings.
It’s no wonder given the reliably sycophantic softballs she pitches.
But this week, Trump signaled just how intrigued he is by OANN. He used his Twitter and Facebook accounts to magnify an evidence-free conspiracy theory floated in the outlet’s “news report” — a generous term under the circumstances.
The theory: That 75-year-old protester Martin Gugino, who was put in the hospital after being shoved to the ground by two Buffalo police officers last week, had been trying to “scan” and “blackout” their police equipment. (The officers have been charged with felony assault.)
Trump credited his new crush:
“Buffalo protester shoved by Police could be an ANTIFA provocateur. 75-year-old Martin Gugino was pushed away after appearing to scan police communications to blackout the equipment. @OANN I watched, he fell harder than was pushed. Was aiming scanner. Could be a set up?” the president tweeted.

Trump drew bipartisan criticism this week because the theory is so truly bonkers — and because he blasted it out on the same day as the funeral for George Floyd, whose death at the hands of Minneapolis police last month has sparked weeks of protest and invigorated a civil rights movement.
Although Gugino has used social media to bash the police, this portrayal strikes those who know him as pure fantasy.
“Oh, that’s ridiculous — they are just plain making things up,” Victoria Ross, who heads the Western New York Peace Center and who has known Gugino for years, told the Buffalo News.
The “reporter” on the OANN piece, Kristian Rouz, is a Russian national who also works for the Russian propaganda outfit Sputnik; and the cable outlet has said it based its report on a post in the Conservative Treehouse, a hoax-happy blog.
If Rouz’s voice sounded familiar, it may be because you managed to catch Rouz floating the notion that the coronavirus was a plot for “population control” by George Soros, Bill Gates, Anthony S. Fauci, Bill and Hillary Clinton, and China.

Say what you will about how low Fox News’s reporting and commentary can sink — and I have — but it seldom stoops this low. The network does make an effort, most of the time, to adhere to some sort of standards, citing where reporting came from and even trying to draw a line between reporting and opinion. (Granted, it was famously forced to retract its damaging and deeply flawed adherence to a conspiracy theory about Seth Rich, a former Democratic National Committee employee, absurdly attempting to tie his 2016 death to Hillary Clinton.)
OANN, which launched on July 4, 2013, has a tiny viewership compared with the major networks, and would be utterly obscure if not for Trump’s megaphone.
After making something of a mark in the early days of the 2016 presidential campaign by committing to broadcasting Trump’s campaign speeches live and in full, OANN has stayed the course. It even unapologetically described itself last year as “one of his greatest supporters.”
But even within the ranks of this reliable Trump cheerleading squad, the latest incident has caused embarrassment.
“I’m seeing how much response this is all getting on Twitter right now, and it’s freaking awful,” one OANN staffer said, according to the Washington Examiner. “I’m worried the next news director I send my reel out to will only see ‘OAN’ on my résumé and throw it in the trash.”
I’d call that a perfectly legitimate worry.
But for Trump — whose recent efforts to tie MSNBC host Joe Scarborough to a staffer’s accidental death suggest his increasing desperation to change the subject — the outlet’s lack of standards is far from disqualifying.
It’s a compelling part of the attraction.

A satellite view of the fuel spill near Norilsk, Russia, last week.

A 20,000-ton oil spill in the Arctic

  • Late last month, a fuel tank at a power plant in the north of Russia spilled some 20,000 tons of diesel into a nearby river. The spill is severe enough that Russian President Vladimir Putin last week declared a state of emergency in the region. [Washington Post / Isabelle Khurshudyan]

  • Now that fuel is flowing toward the Arctic Ocean, despite efforts to contain it. The diesel spill has already reached a nearby Arctic lake and is in danger of spilling into a nature reverse and, from there, the ocean. [NYT / Andrew E. Kramer]

  • The spill is considered the worst in recent memory and has elicited comparisons to the 1989 Exxon Valdez oil spill in Alaska. Consequences have been swift: The director of the power plant responsible for the spill has been arrested, and the Russian government has opened a criminal case. [BBC]

  • Thawing permafrost in the region may have been a partial cause of the spill, which according to local officials could take as much as a decade to clean up. However, environmental organizations and Putin have both stressed that mismanagement on the part of Nornickel, the company responsible for the spill, is “the main factor.” [Guardian / Andrew Roth]

October 12, 2019




Hiring Slowed in September as Unemployment Rate Fell to a 50-Year Low to 3.5%.

Job growth was steady last month. The economy lost some momentum, though, as the trade war hurt manufacturing and global growth cooled.

By PATRICIA COHEN

March 9, 2019

Weak Jobs Report Clouds the Economic Picture

Employers increased payrolls by only 20,000 in February, a stark contrast to the two preceding months.

NY TIMES

The economy’s remarkably steady job-creation machine sputtered in February and produced a mere 20,000 jobs. It was the smallest gain in well over a year and came on top of other signs that the economy was off to a sluggish start in 2019.

For months, the labor market could be counted on for an upbeat counterpoint to negative developments, including a fragile global economy weighed down by trade tensions. In the United States, growth for the first quarter is expected to dance around the 1 percent bar, as the shot of adrenaline delivered by last year’s tax cuts fades.

Carl Tannenbaum, chief economist at Northern Trust in Chicago, said Friday’s news from the Labor Department was worrisome. “This is a disappointing report,” he said. “I don’t think there’s any way to sugarcoat it.”

But the longer-term trend is what matters, and there were competing interpretations of whether the report was a troubling omen or a fluke.

Beyond the month’s payroll figure, the report offered some unambiguously good news, including 3.4 percent year-over-year wage growth, the strongest in a decade. Revisions to previous months’ estimates added 12,000 jobs, bringing the average gains for December, January and February to 186,000. The official jobless rate fell to 3.8 percent, from 4 percent in January.

A broader measure of employment that includes part-timers who would prefer full-time work and those too discouraged to search fell to 7.3 percent from 8.1 percent. “That’s a year’s worth of improvement in one month,” said G. Scott Clemons, chief investment strategist at the private bank Brown Brothers Harriman.

Aftereffects of the government shutdown and wretched weather may have contributed to anomalies in the report. “This is the strangest jobs report I’ve seen in a long time,” Mr. Clemons said. “It’s bizarre. I can’t help but think there is noise in there.”

During the decade-long expansion, the economy has churned out 20 million jobs. The anemic job creation and rising wages could indicate that the pool of available workers was drying up, and employers were having trouble filling openings.

March 12, 2015

Why Salaries Don’t Rise


In this Jan. 20, 2015, file photo, Doug Bullock, an Albany County legislator, speaks during the People's State of the State outside the state Capitol in Albany, N.Y. (Mike Groll/AP)



HAROLD MEYERSON, WASHINGTON POST

 Last week, the Labor Department reported that 295,000 jobs were created in February, and official unemployment fell to its lowest rate since early 2008. Wages, however, increased by an anemic 0.1 percent. Over the previous 12 months, they increased just 2 percent. Factoring in inflation, they’ve barely increased at all.

Job creation is up. Unemployment is down. Wages are stagnant. And economists — well, some economists — are confused.


Tighter labor markets are supposed to give workers more bargaining power. To be sure, there are still millions of Americans who left the workforce during the recession and have yet to return; employers’ knowledge of their absence is probably holding wages down. But at the rate that new jobs are now popping up, we should, by all conventional metrics, be seeing at least some increase in Americans’ take-home pay.

And yet, we’re not. Last week, the Labor Department reported that 295,000 jobs were created in February, and official unemployment fell to its lowest rate since early 2008. Wages, however, increased by an anemic 0.1 percent. Over the previous 12 months, they increased just 2 percent. Factoring in inflation, they’ve barely increased at all. Which defies virtually every economic tenet we learned during the 20th century.

The U.S. Chamber of Commerce building. (Karen Bleier/AFP/Getty Images)


But the economy of the 21st century doesn’t work like its predecessor did. The rise of globalization and work-replacing technology has eliminated millions of middle-class jobs. Many believe that this places more of a premium than ever before on education, on increasing the level of workers’ skills. That premium is real, but it doesn’t even begin to explain our epidemic of stagnant wages. As Elise Gould of the Economic Policy Institute has shown, real wages fell for virtually every American in 2014, save only the poorest, and presumably least credentialed, workers. Wages for people at the 10th income percentile actually increased by 1.3 percent, chiefly due to minimum-wage increases enacted by cities and states. But wages for workers at the 95th percentile — presumably, those with some of the best educations – fell by 1 percent. For workers at the 90th percentile, they fell by 0.7 percent, and at the 80th, by 1 percent. So education isn’t the great explainer after all.

For a more plausible explanation, we must, as the great leaker Mark Felt once told two Post reporters, follow the money. When we do, we find that the funds corporations earmarked for their own investment, research, technology and raises during the 20th century have been redirected to shareholders in the 21st. Over the past decade, more than 90 percent of Fortune 500 corporations’ net earnings have been funneled to investors. The great shareholder shift has affected more than employees’ incomes. As Luke A. Stewart and Robert D. Atkinson noted in a 2013 report for the Information Technology and Innovation Foundation, business investment in equipment, software and buildings increased by just 0.5 percent per year between 2000 and 2011 — “less than a fifth that of the 1980s and less than one-tenth that of the 1990s.”

Lynn A. Stout, a professor at Cornell Law School, says that the focus on stock prices has empowered hedge funds that push for short-term solutions.
Heather Ainsworth for The New York TimesLynn A. Stout, a professor at Cornell Law School, says that the focus on stock prices has empowered hedge funds that push for short-term solutions.


The power of major shareholders to appropriate corporate revenue has grown as the power of workers to win raise increases has dwindled — even though the actual commitment of shareholders to any one corporation has diminished. (In 1960, the average length of time an investor held a stock was eight years; today, it’s four months, and when computerized high-frequency trading is factored in, it’s 22 seconds.) The decimation of private-sector unions has flatly eliminated the ability of large numbers of U.S. workers to bargain collectively for better pay or working conditions. But the ability of financiers to threaten the jobs of corporate managers unless they fork over more cash to shareholders has greatly increased.

With a buyback plan, General Motors’ chief executive, Mary T. Barra, may avert a proxy fight. Credit Fabrizio Costantini for The New York Times


Facing one such challenge from an “activist investor” backed by four hedge funds, General Motors on Monday announced that it would buy back $5 billion of its shares, thereby raising the value of the remaining shares and enriching those investors as a reward for their hard work instilling fear in GM’s managers. As for GM’s assembly-line workers, their contract is up for renegotiation this year, and their union hopes to eliminate or at least diminish the two-tier pay system instituted during the auto bailout, under which every worker hired since 2009 can make no more than two-thirds of what veteran workers make, no matter how long those newer hires work at GM. But with the overall rate of unionization so low, GM’s workers don’t have the leverage that one “activist investor” has, though they make the cars while the investor makes threats.


At the root of our great pay stagnation is the appropriation by major investors of the funds that used to go to businesses’ research, modernization, expansion and workers. Full employment will certainly boost workers’ wages, but unless the power shift from workers to investors is reversed, the stagnant middle class we will always have with us.