October 7, 2020

White House appears to be the center of a coronavirus hotspot

 Bramhall's World: Trump

HEATHER COX RICHARDSON

Today coronavirus infections continued to mount in the vicinity of the White House. At least 34 people near Trump have contracted the virus in the past few days. The press corps near the White House is down to a skeleton crew as the White House press secretary, Kayleigh McEnany, and four press aides have tested positive. So have top aide Stephen Miller and Admiral Charles Ray, the vice commandant of the Coast Guard Admiral.

Along with other military leaders, Ray attended an event celebrating Gold Star families last Sunday at the White House. That event included some of the same people who had been at the event the previous day in honor of Amy Coney Barrett. Those who attended both events included Trump and the First Lady.

Senior military leaders attended meetings with Ray last week in a secure room at the Pentagon, and now are self-quarantining. They include the Chairman of Joint Chiefs of Staff General Mark Milley; the Vice Chairman; the Army chief of staff; the Naval Operations Chief; the Air Force chief of staff; the CyberCom Commander; the SpaceForce operations chief; the director of the U.S. National Security Agency, Gen. Paul Nakasone; the Chief of the National Guard, Gen. Daniel Hokanson; and the deputy commandant of the Marine Corps, Gen. Gary Thomas.

The White House has apparently not done any contact tracing, and it declined the help of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention to do it.

The administration appears to be committed to a strategy of community spread, rejecting the use of masks and of distancing. Deputy press secretary Brian Morganstern told NPR’s Mary Louise Kelly that the White House still does not require masks because “everyone needs to take personal responsibility.”

That the White House appears to be the center of a coronavirus hotspot has hurt Trump’s reelection campaign. The infections in the face of the fact that the administration refused to take the virus seriously, the ride around the hospital to wave at supporters while endangering Secret Service agents, the struggle to the balcony in a strongman scene, all appear to have demonstrated not Trump’s strength, but his weakness.

His behavior today has reinforced that sense. Trump left the hospital last night and returned to a locked-down White House. The few aides who met with him were dressed in PPE, while the West Wing is virtually abandoned as people have decamped to work from home. 

Trump calls the FDA vaccine delay a hit job in flurry of tweets

Trump has been on a Twitter spree today, tweeting and retweeting his old material, “the Russia Hoax” and Hillary Clinton’s emails, which now feel like ancient history, disconnected from today’s pressing crisis. Tonight, he tweeted: “I have fully authorized the total Declassification of any & all documents pertaining to the single greatest political CRIME in American History, the Russia Hoax. Likewise, the Hillary Clinton Email Scandal. No redactions!” He hit the same points again in another tweet: “All Russia Hoax Scandal information was Declassified by me long ago. Unfortunately for our Country, people have acted very slowly, especially since it is perhaps the biggest political crime in the history of our Country. Act!!!”

He sounds desperate. And on the heels of his tweets, Representative Ted Lieu (D-CA) tweeted to the Justice Department “Per the President’s orders, can you please provide the [House Judiciary] Committee the full unredacted Mueller Report immediately? Thank you.”

Patricia and Mark McCloskey, the St. Louis, Missouri, couple who held guns on protesters in June, were indicted today by a grand jury on charges of exhibiting guns and tampering with evidence. Trump invited the McCloskeys to speak at the Republican National Convention. “What you are witnessing here is just an opportunity for the government, the leftist, democrat government of the City of St. Louis to persecute us for doing no more than exercising our Second Amendment rights,” McCloskey said.

Two weeks ago, the administration blocked strict guidelines for a coronavirus vaccine, but today the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) released those guidelines over White House objections. This will make a vaccine before the election unlikely. Trump tweeted “New F.D.A. Rules make it more difficult for them to speed up vaccines for approval before Election Day. Just another political hit job!”

Today, the New York Times revealed the findings of an internal investigation by the Justice Department’s inspector general Michael Horowitz into the policy of separating children from their parents at our southern border. The policy was engineered by Stephen Miller, but the Justice Department has tended to blame then-Department of Homeland Security Kirstjen Nielsen for the policy. Horowitz’s investigation has established that then-Attorney General Jeff Sessions and his deputy Attorney General Rod Rosenstein were far keener on the policy than she was. In a sign of changing times, a 32-page response to the Horowitz’s investigation, written by Miller’s ally Gene Hamilton, said that Justice Department officials had simply followed orders from the president.

Facebook, too, sees the writing on the wall, and has announced that it will ban all QAnon conspiracy theory accounts. These accounts spread disinformation, including the idea that a heroic Trump is secretly leading an effort to round up a ring of pedophiles and cannibals based in the nation’s entertainment and political elites. The ban is one of the broadest Facebook has ever enacted.

'Roid rage' Trump crashes markets by tweeting that there will be NO stimulus until after

Today, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said that a new coronavirus relief bill is imperative, but just hours later, Trump announced on Twitter that he was cancelling further talks between the White House and House Speaker Nancy Pelosi. Stocks dropped 600 points, and vulnerable Republican senators panicked. Biden released a statement including a pithy condemnation: “Make no mistake: if you are out of work, if your business is closed, if your child’s school is shut down, if you are seeing layoffs in your community, Donald Trump decided today that none of that — none of it — matters to him. There will be no help from Washington for the foreseeable future. Instead, he wants the Senate to use its time to confirm his Supreme Court Justice nominee before the election, in a mad dash to make sure that the Court takes away your health care coverage as quickly as possible.” A few hours later, Trump changed his tune.

Today both the New York Times and the Boston Globe endorsed Biden, and General Michael Hayden, the retired four-star general who served as the Director of the CIA under President George W. Bush, released a video not just endorsing Biden, but also warning that "If there is another term for Trump, I don't know what happens to America." “Biden is a good man,” Hayden says. “Trump is not.”

Financial services company Goldman Sachs today forecast that the Democrats will take both the White House and the Senate, and said a Democratic sweep would mean a faster recovery and thus would be good for the economy. Moody’s Analytics, a subsidiary of another financial services company, recently found that Biden’s plans would add 7.4 million more jobs to the economy than Trump’s would.

Today in Gettysburg, Pennsylvania, a town hallowed by history, Biden gave a blockbuster speech calling for the nation to put aside division and come together. He talked about race: “Think about what it takes for a Black person to love America. That is a deep love for this country that for far too long we have never fully recognized.” He talked about disparities of wealth: “Working people and their kids deserve an opportunity.”

And he talked about Lincoln, and how, at Gettysburg, he called for Americans to dedicate themselves to a “new birth of freedom” so that the men who had died for that cause “shall not have died in vain.”

“Today we are engaged once again in a battle for the soul of the nation,” Biden said. “After all that America has accomplished, after all the years we have stood as a beacon of light to the world, it cannot be that here and now, in 2020, we will allow government of the people, by the people, and for the people to perish from this earth.

“You and I are part of a great covenant, a common story of divisions overcome and of hope renewed," he said. "If we do our part, if we stand together, if we keep faith with the past and with each other, then the divisions of our time can give way to the dreams of a brighter, better, future.”

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Notes:

Kaitlan Collins @kaitlancollins
A third White House press staffer has tested positive for coronavirus, meaning three of McEnany's deputies are now working from home. The West Wing press areas are essentially being run by a skeleton crew because of the recent outbreak.

https://www.nytimes.com/live/2020/10/06/world/covid-coronavirus#the-fda-releases-stricter-guidelines-for-vaccine-developers-after-a-holdup-at-the-white-house

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/10/06/us/politics/family-separation-border-immigration-jeff-sessions-rod-rosenstein.html

https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/2020/10/06/trump-stimulus-package-stocks-fall-after-trump-says-hell-delay-talks-relief/5899988002/

https://www.cnn.com/2020/10/06/politics/what-matters-october-6/index.html

https://www.cnn.com/2020/10/06/investing/dow-stock-market-stimulus/index.html

https://www.cyberscoop.com/nsa-director-nakasone-quarantine-coronavirus/

https://www.nbcnews.com/tech/tech-news/facebook-bans-qanon-across-its-platforms-n1242339

https://joebiden.com/2020/10/06/president-trump-canceling-negotiations-for-covid-19-relief-statement-by-vice-president-biden/

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/10/06/stephen-miller-covid-trump-426924

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/10/06/coast-guard-covid-positive-426799

Gold star event:

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/10/06/coast-guard-covid-positive-426799

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/10/06/coronavirus-looms-trumps-first-day-back-work-426943

https://www.kmov.com/news/mccloskeys-indicted-grand-jury-adds-charges-of-tampering-with-evidence/article_892b9ba4-0807-11eb-8750-b3b2937f7e0b.html

https://www.cnn.com/2020/10/06/business/economy-election-blue-wave-goldman-sachs/index.html

https://www.cnn.com/2020/10/06/business/economy-election-blue-wave-goldman-sachs/index.html

https://joebiden.com/2020/10/06/remarks-by-vice-president-joe-biden-in-gettysburg-pennsylvania/

October 6, 2020

THE "CORONAVIRUS IN CHIEF" LEAVES WALTER REED

Image may contain Mirror Car Mirror Human and Person

LETTERS FROM AN AMERICAN

It appears that the closing argument from the Trump campaign for his reelection was supposed to be that the Democratic presidential nominee, Joe Biden, was overreacting to coronavirus, making fun, for example, of his insistence on wearing a mask and staying distant from others.

Trump was supposed to project strength in the face of the pandemic, suggesting that it has been way overblown by Democrats who oppose his administration and who are thus responsible for the faltering economy.

Then, of course, coronavirus began to spread like wildfire through Trump’s own inner circle after last Sunday’s Rose Garden celebration of Trump’s nomination of Amy Coney Barrett for the Supreme Court seat formerly held by the late Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg. As Trump and increasing numbers of people in his inner circle began to test positive for the infection, the campaign first floundered, and now appears to be trying to brazen out the idea that the disease is not a big deal, and that Trump has conquered it.

Covid-19 has currently infected more than 7 million Americans, and killed more than 210,000 of us, close to the number of Union soldiers—224,097-- who died in our bloody four-year Civil War.

Apparently, it is frustrating Trump that he cannot campaign. Last night, he traveled in a motorcade around Walter Reed Hospital, waving to supporters. The trip horrified medical personnel, who noted that the presidential vehicle is sealed against chemical attack, meaning that the secret service professionals traveling with the president were exposed to a deadly disease for no apparent reason. 

Dr. James P. Phillips, from the Walter Reed Hospital, took to Twitter: “Every single person in the vehicle during that completely unnecessary Presidential “drive-by” just now has to be quarantined for 14 days. They might get sick. They may die. For political theater. Commanded by Trump to put their lives at risk for theater. This is insanity.”

Even staffers were complaining about the disorganization in the West Wing after Trump’s drive. But things did not get more anchored this morning.

Early on, the president began to tweet at a great pace, in all caps, campaign slogans followed by the word “VOTE!” His promises were random and unanchored in reality, with words like “BIGGEST TAX CUT EVER, AND ANOTHER ONE COMING. VOTE!” According to Gabriel Sherman at Vanity Fair, the Trump family is divided over Trump’s performance. According to two Republicans close to the family, Don Jr. was worried by the drive around the hospital. “Don Jr. thinks Trump is acting crazy,” said one of the sources. But Ivanka, Eric, and Jared Kushner “keep telling Trump how great he’s doing.” All of them, though, worried about the morning’s tweet storm.

The infection continues to spread through the White House. This morning, White House press secretary Kayleigh McEnany announced that she, too, has tested positive for coronavirus, a day after she briefed reporters without a mask. Two sources told CNN that two of McEnany’s deputies, Chad Gilmartin and Karoline Leavitt, have also tested positive, along with two members of the White House staff. McEnany said at first the White House was planning to put out the number of staffers infected, but then said it could not, out of “privacy concerns.” But of course there’s no privacy at stake in the raw numbers.

Pastor Greg Laurie during a Harvest Crusade gathering in Anaheim, Calif. | David McNew/Getty Images
Pastor Greg Laurie is senior pastor of a number of large-scale evangelical churches in California. | David McNew/Getty Images

Today we learned that another person who attended the Rose Garden event, Pastor Greg Laurie of the Harvest Christian Fellowship megachurches in California and Hawaii, has tested positive for coronavirus. In addition, thirteen workers who helped to cater a private Trump fundraiser last Thursday in Minnesota are all quarantining.

Although doctors expressed surprise and concern at the idea Trump might leave Walter Reed Hospital today, the president tweeted: “I will be leaving the great Walter Reed Medical Center today at 6:30 P.M. Feeling really good! Don’t be afraid of Covid. Don’t let it dominate your life. We have developed, under the Trump Administration, some really great drugs & knowledge. I feel better than I did 20 years ago!”

Doctors noted that he is in a dangerous period for the progression of Covid-19, and that anyone who had required the sorts of treatments Trump has had is too sick to leave the hospital. “I will bet dollars to doughnuts it’s the president and his political aides who are talking about discharge, not his doctors,” William Schaffner, a professor of infectious diseases at Vanderbilt University’s medical school, told the Washington Post.

A briefing by Trump’s doctors obscured more than it revealed. The White House physician, Sean Conley, refused to explain why the president is being treated with a steroid usually reserved for seriously ill patients, or to discuss the state of Trump’s lungs. He did say that the president is “not out of the woods yet.”

Nonetheless, Trump left Walter Reed Hospital tonight, after lights had been installed to enable him to make a triumphant exit. Still infectious, he went back to the White House and climbed a flight of stairs to a balcony, where he dramatically removed his face mask and saluted well-wishers from a balcony. Although the moment was clearly designed to make Trump look strong, it was obvious he was struggling to breathe.

Vox’s Aaron Rupar noted that “Trump has no choice but to continue to downplay coronavirus (despite 210,000 dead and record new case numbers) because if he changed course, it would be an admission that he was wrong about the defining issue of his presidency -- at the cost of tens of thousands of lives.”

This evening, Trump released a video telling people not to let the coronavirus “dominate you. Don’t be afraid of it. You’re going to beat it…. Don’t let it take over your lives.” CNN chief White House correspondent Jim Acosta dubbed him “Coronavirus in Chief.”

Meanwhile, on the campaign trail, Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden held a town hall tonight in Miami, Florida, where he gave detailed answers to questions about police reform (more money, ban chokeholds and no knock warrants); socialism (“I’ve taken on the Castros of the world. I didn’t cozy up to them”); a mask mandate (the president can only mandate masks on federal property, but he would call on governors and mayors to do the same); and reopening schools (PPE, small classes, ventilation). Watchers noted that it was a treat both to see a normal conversation and to hear detailed, informed answers.

To stay in touch with voters, Biden today began “Notes from Joe,” a daily newsletter.

Strategists are coming to think there will not be a contested election after all. Biden’s lead over Trump increased again after Trump’s debate performance, which apparently was designed to try to bully Biden by hitting triggers until he began to stutter, thus enabling the Trump campaign to portray him as mentally incapacitated. That strategy failed as Biden parried the triggers, and Americans were repelled by Trump’s behavior. Peter Rosenstreich, head of market strategy at Swissquote Bank SA, told Bloomberg, “Polls are shifting from a close election and prolonged uncertainty to more a dominant Biden and clean succession…. That is reducing uncertainty and increasing risk appetite.”

—-

Notes:

https://www.va.gov/opa/publications/factsheets/fs_americas_wars.pdf

https://www.businessinsider.com/trump-biggest-tax-cut-ever-2020-campaign-tweetstorm-2020-10

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/trump-campaign-coronavirus-october/2020/10/04/333cfd90-065f-11eb-859b-f9c27abe638d_story.html

https://www.vanityfair.com/news/2020/10/don-jr-thinks-trump-is-acting-crazy-presidents-covid-joyride-has-family-divided

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2020/10/05/kayleigh-mcenanys-bogus-excuse-lack-coronavirus-transparency/

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/covid-19-is-a-fearsome-killer-trumps-magical-thinking-will-not-change-that/2020/10/05/0f9a2eda-074a-11eb-859b-f9c27abe638d_story.html

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/10/04/us/politics/trump-virus.html

https://talkingpointsmemo.com/prime/where-things-stand-october-5-2020-most-defensive-statement-yet-mcenany-tests-positive

https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/2020/10/04/trump-covid-19-discharge/

https://www.politico.com/states/california/story/2020/10/05/riverside-megachurch-pastor-who-attended-white-house-event-contracts-covid-19-1321259

https://www.axios.com/trump-coronavirus-mark-meadows-west-wing-65fb1a74-59b4-4cb3-9326-47aa7d83b946.html

https://www.cbsnews.com/amp/news/trump-covid-19-restaurant-workers-quarantine-after-fundraiser/

https://www.upworthy.com/people-familiar-with-stuttering-explain-bidens-extraordinary-performance-in-debate

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/clear-cut-biden-win-emerging-124818901.html

lights

October 4, 2020

NYC Public And Private Schools In "Hotspot" ZIP Codes Will Go Remote On Tuesday

 

GOTHAMIST

A man and his three children walk in Borough Park—no one is wearing masks.
A family walks in Borough Park on October 4, 2020 KATHY WILLENS/AP/SHUTTERSTOCK

Public and private schools in Brooklyn and Queens ZIP codes with high COVID-19 positivity rates will shut down in-person learning and move to 100% remote learning, starting on Tuesday. Governor Andrew Cuomo announced the decision on Monday, a day after Mayor Bill de Blasio proposed the move to mitigate the spiking spread of the coronavirus in those neighborhoods.


The mayor had requested state approval to close schools in nine ZIP codes in Brooklyn and Queens, which would include 100 public schools and 200 private schools, in addition to closing non-essential businesses on Tuesday. Cuomo said on Monday that he spoke to de Blasio, City Council Speaker Corey Johnson, City Comptroller Scott Stringer, and Michael Mulgrew, president of the United Teachers' Federation, before his press conference to discuss the decision."I would not going to or recommend any NYC family send their child to a school" in those areas, he said.


Under de Blasio's proposal, the schools would go all-remote for at least two weeks in the following neighborhoods where positivity rates range from 3% to over 8%: Borough Park (11219), Gravesend (11223), Midwood (11230), Bensonhurst (11204), Flatlands (11210), Gerritsen Beach/Homecrest/Sheepshead Bay (11229) in Brooklyn; and Far Rockaway (11691), Kew Gardens (11415), Kew Gardens Hills (11367) in Queens.

The map above shows where Mayor de Blasio recommends shutdowns of schools and all non-essential businesses, or partial shutdowns of high-risk activities like indoor dining, gyms, and pools.


Outside PS 217 in Midwood—which would close under the mayor’s plan—on Monday morning, some parents said they hadn’t heard the news. Others called it whiplash inducing. 

“My view is that the cause for the potential closure is not within the schools, it’s within surrounding areas,” said Zach Bernstein. “I think it should be looked at more thoughtfully because it has an enormous impact on the students, to be going back and forth between different models, and it’s not the schools themselves that are causing the issue.” 

Outside PS 217, a red brick building with scaffolding over it, a sign salutes teachers
PS 217 in Midwood JESSICA GOULD / WNYC

Another parent, Miriam Coleman, said she’s glad officials are making decisions based on the rising case numbers. “I’m relieved that they are being responsive to it and they’re making that decision for us,” she said. “But all the indecision around it has been so frustrating.”

Other parents wondered about the effectiveness of the move given that so many students and staff commute in and out of the communities for school or jobs. Tazin Azad, a parent leader in the same Midwood zip code, has been advocating for fully remote learning across the system, and especially in the areas where cases are rising. “There’s no boundaries in how this virus operates,” she said, noting the geographic lines dividing ZIP code can’t contain COVID-19. 

Cuomo did allow that more schools might be added because some students in the hotspot schools could attend schools outside the nine ZIP codes. As for why he decided the schools should be closed on Tuesday, and not Wednesday as de Blasio had recommended, the governor said that Stringer, Johnson, and Mulgrew agreed schools should be closed as soon as possible. De Blasio had proposed Wednesday in order to give children another day of in-person learning.


When asked if the issue stemmed from compliance issues at yeshivas in the Orthodox community, de Blasio said this morning on CNN, "I think it is bigger issue across these nine ZIP codes that really have a wide range, diverse range of New Yorkers in them. We have to get people into the basic practice of wearing masks, socially distancing, really following the rules that have worked... I know we can do it in these nine ZIP codes, but I think this is something where people have to remember, again, those rules work and we have to be devoted to them."


Parents are quitting their jobs to keep up with their kids’ online schooling, which will slow the recovery.

“According to research that Brevan Howard Asset Management recently shared with its investors, about 4.3 million U.S. workers could find themselves staying home unless they find other child-care arrangements. If those parents are counted among the unemployed, it would boost the unemployment rate by 2.6 percentage points,” the Wall Street Journal reports. “That would be a sharper increase than occurred in both the 1990-91 and 2001 recessions, though smaller than what occurred in the 2007-09 downturn, the researchers said. A recent analysis by Barclays economist Jonathan Millar and colleagues found that the closures of all schools from September to December 2020 would result in a reduction of U.S. gross domestic product in 2020 on the order of between 0.4% and 0.8%. That compares with an inflation-adjusted GDP decline of 0.1% in 1991 and a slight increase in 2001.” 

This article has been updated to reflect that it's unclear how many schools will be closed.